dinsdag, oktober 27, 2009

It's been a while

Its been 3 months since my last update.
I had a very tough stretch of hands between april and july, where I didn't win anything for about 250k hands. I've never had anything like that before, so obviously it really hurt my confidence in my game.
It was clear that I was running very bad in a lot of ways, but still 250k hands seems amazing and I never thought it was possible.

In august I went on holiday and when I came back in September I replaced my harddisk (which was broken during the time I moved in with my girlfriend) and after that I could start grinding again.
EVP had some nice promotions in September (alpine cash race and a hand race), so my plan was to play over 100k hands to qualify myself for this alpine package in this hotel:
(http://hotel-alpine-palace.com/nl/alpine-palace/het-luxehotel-in-saalbach)

At the end of september I played around 120k hands and qualified myself easily.
Lucky for me I also run good again. It's really amazing how big variance can be as I made over 100 buyins within 100k hands during this period.
Before I always thought 100k hands was a big enough sample to be able to tell something about your winrate, but after the last half year I doubt it.
I've had a 200k hand stretche with a winrate of close to 0, but also one with a winrate around 10bb/100.So yeah variance is sick.

I'll post some hand later on.

vrijdag, juli 24, 2009

Some hands

Here´s another update update with some interesting hands against a fairly aggressive opponent I played yesterday.

First hand against him. He was really getting out of line by now and 3betting around 15%-20% from the blinds I guess. I'm still not sure of I made the right decision here on the river, but he's river bet was fairly instant so my guess is, that he had me beat.

***** Hand History for Game 4856828776 ***** (Everest)
$400.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, July 23, 09:43:27 ET 2009
Table Bamako0 (Real Money)
Seat 6 is the button
Seat 1: XXX ( $735.80 USD )
Seat 2: -OSFC- ( $517.40 USD )
Seat 3: tomazino91 ( $266.00 USD )
Seat 4: WitteCondor ( $404.80 USD )
Seat 5: p0kerf1st ( $400.00 USD )
Seat 6: BldZwtTrn ( $727.50 USD )
XXX posts small blind [$2.00 USD].
-OSFC- posts big blind [$4.00 USD].
Dealt to BldZwtTrn [ As Qd ]
** Dealing down cards **
tomazino91 folds
WitteCondor folds
BldZwtTrn raises [$10.00 USD]
XXX raises [$32.00 USD]
-OSFC- folds
BldZwtTrn calls [$24.00 USD]
** Dealing Flop ** [ Qs, 2d, Kd ]
XXX bets [$65.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn calls [$65.00 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 7d ]
XXX bets [$155.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn calls [$155.00 USD]
** Dealing River ** [ 4c ]
XXX bets [$481.80 USD]
BldZwtTrn folds
XXX wins $481.80 USD
XXX wins $510.00 USD from main pot

Second hand is another hand against this guy. Don´t think I can play it any different.

***** Hand History for Game 4856880480 ***** (Everest)
$400.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, July 23, 09:57:10 ET 2009
Table Bamako3 (Real Money)
Seat 3 is the button
Seat 1: Niwle ( $1272.90 USD )
Seat 2: YELLOP777 ( $495.00 USD )
Seat 3: XXX ( $398.00 USD )
Seat 4: p0kerf1st ( $396.00 USD )
Seat 5: BldZwtTrn ( $915.30 USD )
Seat 6: dreamer_ ( $68.00 USD )
p0kerf1st posts small blind [$2.00 USD].
BldZwtTrn posts big blind [$4.00 USD].
Dealt to BldZwtTrn [ As Jd ]
** Dealing down cards **
dreamer_ folds
YELLOP777 folds
XXX raises [$14.00 USD]
p0kerf1st folds
BldZwtTrn raises [$40.00 USD]
XXX calls [$30.00 USD]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 9d, 4c, 3s ]
BldZwtTrn bets [$56.00 USD]
XXX calls [$56.00 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ Js ]
BldZwtTrn bets [$125.00 USD]
XXX raises [$298.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn calls [$173.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn shows [As, Jd ]
XXX shows [9c, 8c ]
** Dealing River ** [ 7c ]
BldZwtTrn wins $796.00 USD from main pot

Third hand against him. He was really getting out of line with 3bets from the blinds by now (15%-20%). Not the best river, cause my thought on the turn was that het had complete air here, but this river could have helped him with some of his air hands, but his timing made me call this river.

***** Hand History for Game 4856997007 ***** (Everest)
$400.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, July 23, 10:30:51 ET 2009
Table Bamako0 (Real Money)
Seat 6 is the button
Seat 1: XXX ( $682.20 USD )
Seat 2: -OSFC- ( $724.80 USD )
Seat 3: tomazino91 ( $915.40 USD )
Seat 4: sirpaul ( $382.00 USD )
Seat 5: p0kerf1st ( $416.70 USD )
Seat 6: BldZwtTrn ( $511.40 USD )
XXX posts small blind [$2.00 USD].
-OSFC- posts big blind [$4.00 USD].
Dealt to BldZwtTrn [ 6c 6s ]
** Dealing down cards **
tomazino91 calls [$4.00 USD]
sirpaul folds
p0kerf1st folds
BldZwtTrn raises [$18.00 USD]
XXX raises [$48.00 USD]
-OSFC- folds
tomazino91 folds
BldZwtTrn calls [$32.00 USD]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 5s, 7s, 7c ]
XXX bets [$80.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn calls [$80.00 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 2d ]
XXX bets [$150.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn calls [$150.00 USD]
** Dealing River ** [ Kc ]
XXX bets [$402.20 USD]
BldZwtTrn calls [$231.40 USD]
XXX wins $170.80 USD
XXX shows [Tc, 9h ]
BldZwtTrn shows [6c, 6s ]
BldZwtTrn wins $1027.80 USD from main pot

In the fourth hand, my initial thought/read was good, but I should have changed that read when he instant raised the river. This guy had what u call a huge timing tell, because he always thought about bluffs and made valuebets/raises instant....
But I was stupid to stick with my plan and snapcalled his river raise.....big mistake.

***** Hand History for Game 4857057693 ***** (Everest)
$400.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, July 23, 10:50:37 ET 2009
Table Bamako3 (Real Money)
Seat 1 is the button
Seat 1: Niwle ( $883.40 USD )
Seat 2: FuckMountain ( $396.00 USD )
Seat 3: tobestar11 ( $408.90 USD )
Seat 4: p0kerf1st ( $592.00 USD )
Seat 5: BldZwtTrn ( $966.60 USD )
Seat 6: XXX ( $947.60 USD )
FuckMountain posts small blind [$2.00 USD].
tobestar11 posts big blind [$4.00 USD].
Dealt to BldZwtTrn [ Ac Jc ]
** Dealing down cards **
p0kerf1st folds
BldZwtTrn raises [$14.00 USD]
XXX calls [$14.00 USD]
Niwle folds
FuckMountain folds
tobestar11 folds
** Dealing Flop ** [ Js, 6c, 4s ]
BldZwtTrn bets [$24.00 USD]
XXX raises [$88.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn calls [$64.00 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ Qd ]
BldZwtTrn checks
XXX checks
** Dealing River ** [ 6h ]
BldZwtTrn bets [$40.00 USD]
XXX raises [$300.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn calls [$260.00 USD]
XXX shows [6s, 5s ]
BldZwtTrn doesn't show [Ac, Jc ]
XXX wins $807.00 USD from main pot


Other EVP players who want to know his name, just PM me, as far as I know he's not dutch (hungarian it says in his profile...)

vrijdag, juli 17, 2009

Cruel game

It's been a while since I updated this blog. Yesterday after another unfortunate session I noticed that my latest blog update was about a huge upswing I had during the end of 2008.
Usually I'm not that superstitious, but by posting all those beats I gave away I probably triggered some sort of doomswith.
So hopefully this post will turn it around again :-)

As you can understand I'm going through a very though stretch of hands. During those 2,5 years I played poker I always had periods of weeks (50k-70K hands) where I run bad, just as I had periods where I run superhot.
The last 3,5 months though are the worst I ever had. I'm playing around break-even now for around 200K hands, which is far more then I ever thought was possible in the games I play.

People always ask the reason behind this long stretch. Is it the financial crisis that is affecting the poker games? Has my luck run out? Are other players adjusting better to my game? Am I playing worse? Or is it just bad luck.....

It's difficult to answer those questions because it's obviously very easy to blame it all to badluck, but it's probably a mix from a lot of things.
Games are tougher then a year ago thats for sure, but especially the last 6 weeks I had tons of very good tables and lots of fish.
One problem is that there are just less (good) games running above NL600 and so you see a lot of good players moving down in stakes.
It's not that players have become so much better, it's more that there are more of them in comparison with the bad players.

Offcourse when I'm running this bad for so long, I'm not always playing my best game anymore, but I think I'm doing quite ok here, at least not tilting buy-ins away, but just some not so good calls and some missed value bets, but nothing spectacular.
Where I had a period of like 30 winning days in a row at the end of 2008, I now haven't won more then 3 days in a row for like 4 months.

Even though I played so much hands already I still underestimated how big variance can be in poker, so I'm quite happy I always had a very strict bankroll management, because I don't have to worry about going broke or having to move down in stakes.

I'm not going to post any hands or graphs, because it speaks for itselfs.

All I want to say is, don't ever underestimate how bad u can run, because it can always get worse.

See ya at the tables!

donderdag, januari 08, 2009

Warning: do not read if you run bad

In one of my previous posts I said that I didn't give any bad beats away....well this has changed :-). Its ridiculous how hot I'm running the past 6 weeks.
After the last downswing of 60K hands I have the feeling that im now in an upswing for over 100K hands.
One of the sickest things is that during the last 27 days I played I didn't lose on one single day and in this 6 weeks period I had only 1 losing day...

I'm still playing 400/600 most of the time because it's very easy and low variance to 10-12 table those and I can get a pretty decent hourly there.
But I should definately play more 1000, because a lot of the time the tables there are not that tougher as you can see in the hand below....

Against the tablefish...

***** Hand History for Game 4143839645 *****
$1000.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, January 08, 12:44:59 ET 2009
Table Harare0 (Real Money)
Seat 3 is the button
Seat 1: TheKometer ( $1020.00 USD )
Seat 2: Unceasing ( $1743.00 USD )
Seat 3: LordRos2 ( $1362.25 USD )
Seat 4: jullius ( $1214.00 USD )
Seat 5: BldZwtTrn ( $1637.25 USD )
Seat 6: Biloboy ( $2072.00 USD )
jullius posts small blind [$5.00 USD].
BldZwtTrn posts big blind [$10.00 USD].
Dealt to BldZwtTrn [ 8d Ah ]
** Dealing down cards **
Biloboy folds
TheKometer folds
Unceasing folds
LordRos2 calls [$10.00 USD]
jullius folds
BldZwtTrn checks
** Dealing Flop ** [ 6c, Kh, 8h ]
BldZwtTrn bets [$15.00 USD]
LordRos2 calls [$15.00 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ As ]
BldZwtTrn bets [$44.00 USD]
LordRos2 raises [$88.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn raises [$256.00 USD]
LordRos2 raises [$867.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn raises [$1312.25 USD]
LordRos2 calls [$382.25 USD]
BldZwtTrn wins $275.00 USD
BldZwtTrn shows [8d, Ah ]
LordRos2 shows [Ad, 6s ]
** Dealing River ** [ 2d ]
BldZwtTrn wins $2726.50 USD from main pot

Special for Jules, who asked me to post this hand to show how hot Im running.

***** Hand History for Game 4139754406 *****
$400.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Wednesday, January 07, 01:19:19 ET 2009
Table Bamako14 (Real Money)
Seat 6 is the button
Seat 1: Niwle ( $714.99 USD )
Seat 2: tbevirus ( $40.00 USD )
Seat 3: BldZwtTrn ( $402.00 USD )
Seat 4: HavingFun42 ( $87.00 USD )
Seat 5: _C3P0_ ( $308.90 USD )
Seat 6: jullius ( $539.50 USD )
Niwle posts small blind [$2.00 USD].
tbevirus posts big blind [$4.00 USD].
Dealt to BldZwtTrn [ 9c 8c ]
** Dealing down cards **
BldZwtTrn raises [$14.00 USD]
HavingFun42 folds
_C3P0_ folds
jullius calls [$14.00 USD]
Niwle folds
tbevirus folds
** Dealing Flop ** [ 7c, Jc, 2s ]
BldZwtTrn bets [$26.00 USD]
jullius calls [$26.00 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 6c ]
BldZwtTrn bets [$50.00 USD]
jullius calls [$50.00 USD]
** Dealing River ** [ 5c ]
BldZwtTrn bets [$118.00 USD]
jullius raises [$449.50 USD]
BldZwtTrn calls [$194.00 USD]
jullius wins $137.50 USD
jullius shows [Kh, Ac ]
BldZwtTrn shows [9c, 8c ]
BldZwtTrn wins $807.00 USD from main pot

For people who are running bad and can't see and bad beats, stop reading here

***** Hand History for Game 4143700343 *****
$1000.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, January 08, 11:54:15 ET 2009
Table Harare0 (Real Money)
Seat 4 is the button
Seat 1: TheKometer ( $1075.00 USD )
Seat 2: crazy_macho ( $950.00 USD )
Seat 3: LordRos2 ( $785.00 USD )
Seat 4: leshpaniol ( $461.25 USD )
Seat 5: BldZwtTrn ( $990.00 USD )
Seat 6: Biloboy ( $1000.00 USD )
BldZwtTrn posts small blind [$5.00 USD].
Biloboy posts big blind [$10.00 USD].
Dealt to BldZwtTrn [ Ks Ad ]
** Dealing down cards **
TheKometer folds
crazy_macho folds
LordRos2 calls [$10.00 USD]
leshpaniol raises [$45.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn raises [$150.00 USD]
Biloboy folds
LordRos2 calls [$145.00 USD]
leshpaniol raises [$416.25 USD]
BldZwtTrn raises [$835.00 USD]
LordRos2 folds
BldZwtTrn wins $528.75 USD
BldZwtTrn shows [Ks, Ad ]
leshpaniol shows [Ah, As ]
** Dealing Flop ** [ Jd, Qc, 7d ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ Th ]
** Dealing River ** [ 4d ]
BldZwtTrn wins $1084.50 USD from main pot

***** Hand History for Game 4139994255 *****
$400.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Wednesday, January 07, 02:27:50 ET 2009
Table Bamako7 (Real Money)
Seat 5 is the button
Seat 1: camboli999 ( $347.60 USD )
Seat 2: Gl._ ( $40.00 USD )
Seat 3: cybeledolly ( $164.40 USD )
Seat 4: L4IZeR_WeeD ( $264.10 USD )
Seat 5: BldZwtTrn ( $472.00 USD )
Seat 6: Wildbunny ( $365.03 USD )
Wildbunny posts small blind [$2.00 USD].
camboli999 posts big blind [$4.00 USD].
Dealt to BldZwtTrn [ Kc Kh ]
** Dealing down cards **
Gl._ folds
cybeledolly folds
L4IZeR_WeeD folds
BldZwtTrn raises [$14.00 USD]
Wildbunny raises [$44.00 USD]
camboli999 folds
BldZwtTrn raises [$99.00 USD]
Wildbunny raises [$319.03 USD]
BldZwtTrn raises [$359.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn wins $106.97 USD
Wildbunny shows [As, Ad ]
BldZwtTrn shows [Kc, Kh ]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 3h, 8c, Kd ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 3s ]
** Dealing River ** [ 6c ]
BldZwtTrn wins $731.06 USD from main pot

***** Hand History for Game 4138357828 *****
$400.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Tuesday, January 06, 11:28:41 ET 2009
Table Bamako6 (Real Money)
Seat 1 is the button
Seat 1: BldZwtTrn ( $474.00 USD )
Seat 2: Gl._ ( $40.00 USD )
Seat 3: Uhlfeister ( $48.00 USD )
Seat 4: PlzDoMe ( $251.90 USD )
Seat 5: JVVD ( $617.00 USD )
Seat 6: euroglot ( $46.00 USD )
Uhlfeister posts small blind [$2.00 USD].
PlzDoMe posts big blind [$4.00 USD].
Dealt to BldZwtTrn [ Ac Qs ]
** Dealing down cards **
JVVD raises [$14.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn raises [$48.00 USD]
Uhlfeister folds
PlzDoMe folds
JVVD raises [$94.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn raises [$426.00 USD]
JVVD raises [$509.00 USD]
JVVD wins $143.00 USD
JVVD shows [Ah, Kh ]
BldZwtTrn shows [Ac, Qs ]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 2c, Jc, 7c ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 4h ]
** Dealing River ** [ Qh ]
BldZwtTrn wins $952.00 USD from main pot

***** Hand History for Game 4138232212 *****
$400.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Tuesday, January 06, 10:58:29 ET 2009
Table Tengiz7 (Real Money)
Seat 6 is the button
Seat 1: Togozner ( $36.00 USD )
Seat 2: BldZwtTrn ( $400.00 USD )
Seat 3: mufffur ( $408.00 USD )
Seat 4: TOTO57070 ( $400.00 USD )
Seat 5: dreamer_ ( $47.40 USD )
Seat 6: alexxx82 ( $542.70 USD )
Togozner posts small blind [$2.00 USD].
BldZwtTrn posts big blind [$4.00 USD].
Dealt to BldZwtTrn [ Td Ts ]
** Dealing down cards **
mufffur raises [$9.00 USD]
dreamer_ folds
alexxx82 folds
Togozner folds
BldZwtTrn raises [$28.00 USD]
mufffur raises [$75.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn raises [$368.00 USD]
mufffur calls [$316.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn shows [Td, Ts ]
mufffur shows [Qc, Qd ]
** Dealing Flop ** [ Ad, 8c, Js ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 9c ]
** Dealing River ** [ 7d ]
BldZwtTrn wins $800.00 USD from main pot

***** Hand History for Game 4134536696 *****
$400.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Tuesday, January 06, 01:39:06 ET 2009
Table Bamako5 (Real Money)
Seat 6 is the button
Seat 1: BldZwtTrn ( $600.20 USD )
Seat 2: Common ( $414.60 USD )
Seat 3: Ace_lover ( $29.80 USD )
Seat 4: Purreltoch ( $843.00 USD )
Seat 5: yasamin123 ( $519.02 USD )
Seat 6: dreamer_ ( $44.00 USD )
BldZwtTrn posts small blind [$2.00 USD].
Common posts big blind [$4.00 USD].
Dealt to BldZwtTrn [ Ac Kc ]
** Dealing down cards **
Ace_lover folds
Purreltoch raises [$14.00 USD]
yasamin123 calls [$14.00 USD]
dreamer_ folds
BldZwtTrn raises [$58.00 USD]
Common folds
Purreltoch raises [$136.00 USD]
yasamin123 folds
BldZwtTrn raises [$540.20 USD]
Purreltoch calls [$450.20 USD]
BldZwtTrn shows [Ac, Kc ]
Purreltoch shows [Ad, Ah ]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 9c, As, Jc ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ Kh ]
** Dealing River ** [ 4c ]
BldZwtTrn wins $1215.40 USD from main pot

***** Hand History for Game 4134409265 *****
$400.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Tuesday, January 06, 12:48:00 ET 2009
Table Ikimba5 (Real Money)
Seat 3 is the button
Seat 1: Coorain ( $411.70 USD )
Seat 2: euroglot ( $41.50 USD )
Seat 3: n@a ( $357.05 USD )
Seat 4: BigNick82 ( $1028.33 USD )
Seat 5: dreamer_ ( $46.00 USD )
Seat 6: BldZwtTrn ( $466.95 USD )
BigNick82 posts small blind [$2.00 USD].
dreamer_ posts big blind [$4.00 USD].
Dealt to BldZwtTrn [ Kc Ks ]
** Dealing down cards **
BldZwtTrn raises [$14.00 USD]
Coorain folds
euroglot folds
n@a folds
BigNick82 raises [$44.00 USD]
dreamer_ folds
BldZwtTrn raises [$99.00 USD]
BigNick82 raises [$297.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn raises [$353.95 USD]
BigNick82 calls [$123.95 USD]
BigNick82 shows [Ah, As ]
BldZwtTrn shows [Kc, Ks ]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 3d, 5d, Jc ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ Kh ]
** Dealing River ** [ 9d ]
BldZwtTrn wins $934.90 USD from main pot

***** Hand History for Game 4134183402 *****
$400.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Monday, January 05, 11:41:03 ET 2009
Table Bamako11 (Real Money)
Seat 6 is the button
Seat 1: Ace_lover ( $1308.10 USD )
Seat 3: nuggeth ( $40.00 USD )
Seat 4: BldZwtTrn ( $473.60 USD )
Seat 5: tbevirus ( $52.00 USD )
Seat 6: Brutik ( $388.00 USD )
Ace_lover posts small blind [$2.00 USD].
nuggeth posts big blind [$4.00 USD].
Dealt to BldZwtTrn [ Kc Kd ]
** Dealing down cards **
BldZwtTrn raises [$14.00 USD]
tbevirus folds
Brutik raises [$48.00 USD]
Ace_lover folds
nuggeth folds
BldZwtTrn raises [$99.00 USD]
Brutik raises [$340.00 USD]
BldZwtTrn raises [$360.60 USD]
BldZwtTrn wins $85.60 USD
BldZwtTrn shows [Kc, Kd ]
Brutik shows [Ah, As ]
** Dealing Flop ** [ Qd, 7s, 2s ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ Ks ]
** Dealing River ** [ Th ]
BldZwtTrn wins $780.00 USD from main pot